AI Predictions
Every forecast locked in before kickoff • Track accuracy in real-time
How Accuracy is Calculated
Points-based scoring system for prediction accuracy
🎯Points Award Rule
Each match is scored once, using the highest applicable rule:
- 3 ptsActual score matches the model's rank 1st scoreline
- 2 ptsActual score matches either the rank 2nd or rank 3rd scoreline
- 1 ptNo exact match, but rank 1 scoreline predicts the correct outcome (home win, draw, or away win)
- 0 ptsWrong outcome prediction
All scoring is judged on the 90-minute result only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts.
📈Accuracy Calculation
Points Accuracy — weighted by scoring rule:
Since each match can earn a maximum of 3 points, the maximum possible points equals the number of completed matches multiplied by 3.
Example: If 10 matches are completed and the model earned 27 points total, the points accuracy would be 27 ÷ (10 × 3) = 27 ÷ 30 = 90%.
Outcome Accuracy — did the rank-1 scoreline pick the right outcome?
A match counts as a correct outcome when the home/draw/away result implied by the model's rank-1 scoreline matches the actual home/draw/away result (the 1-point rule above).
Example: If the model picks a rank-1 scoreline of 2-1 (home win) and the actual result is 3-0 (home win), that counts as a correct outcome — regardless of whether the exact scoreline matched.
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